Maharashtra Exit Poll Results 2024: Who Holds the Edge?
- Sharon Rajendra Manmothe
- Nov 20, 2024
- 5 min read
The Maharashtra Assembly Elections 2024 have drawn to a close, and as the voting ends, all eyes turn to the exit poll predictions. The battle for control of Maharashtra has been intense, with the key players being the Mahayuti alliance (BJP and allies) and the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA). Let’s dive into what the exit polls predict for this high-stakes contest.
Overview of the Exit Poll Predictions
Here’s a quick glance at the projections from leading pollsters:
Pollster | Mahayuti (BJP+) | MVA (INC, NCP, SS) | Others | Comments |
P-Marq | 137–157 | 98–118 | 5–10 | Predicts a comfortable win for Mahayuti. |
People’s Pulse | 130–150 | 90–110 | 10–15 | Slight edge for BJP-led alliance. |
Matrize | 140–160 | 85–105 | 8–12 | Mahayuti poised for majority. |
CVoter | 120–140 | 100–120 | 10–15 | A close contest, MVA closing the gap. |
ETG Research | 150–170 | 80–100 | 5–8 | Landslide for Mahayuti predicted. |
Key Takeaways from the Exit Polls
Mahayuti Holds the EdgeMost exit polls predict a decisive win for the BJP-led Mahayuti alliance, with projections ranging between 120 and 170 seats. The alliance appears to have benefitted from its strong grassroots campaigns and strategic alliances.
MVA Struggles to Catch UpDespite a robust campaign, the Maha Vikas Aghadi alliance is trailing in most polls, with predictions hovering between 85 and 120 seats.
Role of Smaller Parties"Others," including independents and smaller parties, are expected to secure a marginal share, which could play a critical role in a hung assembly scenario.
Close Contests in Key ConstituenciesWhile Mahayuti enjoys a clear edge, some constituencies might witness neck-to-neck battles, especially in urban and semi-urban areas.
The exit poll results have set the stage for a highly anticipated election outcome. While the Mahayuti alliance appears to be cruising toward a majority, the final results will reveal whether the predictions hold true or if the MVA manages to defy the odds.
Stay tuned as we bring you the latest updates on the Maharashtra Assembly Elections 2024!
Impact of 'Mission Swaraj' and 'Katenge Batange' Campaigns on Maharashtra Elections 2024
The 2024 Maharashtra Assembly Elections were not just a battle of numbers but also a contest of ideologies, narratives, and impactful campaigns. Among the most prominent were the ‘Mission Swaraj’ by the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) and ‘Katenge Batange’ by the BJP-led Mahayuti alliance. These campaigns played pivotal roles in shaping voter sentiment and influencing the outcomes predicted in the exit polls.
How ‘Mission Swaraj’ Influenced the Election
The MVA launched ‘Mission Swaraj’ to project itself as the champion of Maharashtra’s self-reliance, cultural pride, and inclusive governance. Here’s how it impacted the election:
Grassroots Mobilization:The campaign emphasized the rights of farmers, small businesses, and rural communities. Rallies across districts focused on empowering the agricultural sector and addressing farmer distress, a critical issue in Maharashtra.
Youth and Employment:With a spotlight on unemployment, the campaign promised policies tailored for the youth, particularly in semi-urban and urban areas.
Cultural Resonance:The slogan tapped into Maharashtra’s historical pride, invoking leaders like Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj to connect with voters emotionally.
Impact:
Exit Poll Trends: While MVA’s efforts did resonate in certain regions, particularly Western Maharashtra, the overall response, as seen in the exit polls, suggests limited success in bridging the gap with the Mahayuti alliance.
Voter Groups: Strong traction among traditional INC and NCP voters but struggled to penetrate BJP strongholds.
How ‘Katenge Batange’ Reshaped the Campaign Landscape
The BJP-led Mahayuti alliance’s ‘Katenge Batange’ campaign took a bold and aggressive approach, focusing on development and attacking MVA’s governance record. Its key strategies included:
Hyper-localized Messaging:The campaign addressed constituency-specific issues such as infrastructure, water scarcity, and urban renewal projects, ensuring a direct connection with voters.
Technology and Outreach:Leveraging social media and AI-driven outreach, the BJP reached voters in even the remotest areas. High-tech rallies and hologram speeches enhanced visibility.
National Narrative:Framing the election as part of a larger narrative of national progress under the BJP-led central government, it appealed to voters with promises of continuity and stability.
Impact:
Exit Poll Trends: Most exit polls predict a landslide or a clear majority for the Mahayuti, indicating the success of their campaign strategy.
Voter Groups: Strong support from urban middle-class voters, traders, and professionals who resonated with the development-oriented pitch.
Maharashtra Exit Poll 2024: Predictions Place Mahayuti Ahead of MVA
The much-anticipated Maharashtra exit poll results are out, and early projections suggest that the BJP-led Mahayuti alliance is likely to take the lead over the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA). With all 288 constituencies having voted, the question remains whether these predictions will translate into results on November 23, when the vote counting takes place.
Maharashtra Exit Poll: Highlights from Leading Pollsters
As the Maharashtra exit poll numbers pour in, here’s a breakdown of the key predictions from various agencies:
P-MARQ Exit Poll
Mahayuti Alliance: 137–157 seats
MVA Alliance: 126–146 seats
Others: 2–8 seats
P-MARQ suggests a tight race but gives a slight edge to the BJP-led Mahayuti in the Maharashtra exit poll predictions.
MATRIZE Exit Poll
Mahayuti Alliance: 150–170 seats
MVA Alliance: 110–130 seats
Others: No clear projection
MATRIZE predicts a strong showing for the Mahayuti, reinforcing the alliance’s dominance in the Maharashtra exit poll results.
People’s Pulse Exit Poll
Mahayuti Alliance: 175–195 seats
MVA Alliance: 85–112 seats
Others: 7–12 seats
People’s Pulse presents one of the most optimistic forecasts for the Mahayuti, positioning it far ahead of the MVA in the Maharashtra exit poll projections.
Chanakya Strategies Exit Poll
Mahayuti Alliance: 152–160 seats
MVA Alliance: 130–138 seats
Others: 0 seats
Chanakya Strategies shows a competitive battle but still tilts the Maharashtra exit poll in favor of the Mahayuti.
Lokshahi Exit Poll
Mahayuti Alliance: 128–142 seats
MVA Alliance: 125–140 seats
Others: 18–23 seats
The Lokshahi Maharashtra exit poll indicates a closer contest, with both alliances vying for a majority.
Where to Watch Maharashtra Exit Polls?
The Maharashtra exit poll results are being broadcast live on major news channels, YouTube, and media platforms. NewsX TV and its website are providing continuous updates. These projections started rolling out after 6:30 pm on November 20, following the conclusion of voting.
Maharashtra Assembly Election Overview
The Maharashtra Assembly elections witnessed voting across all 288 constituencies on November 20. The state requires a majority of 145 seats to form the government. Here’s how the alliances are positioned:
Mahayuti Alliance: BJP (149 seats), Shiv Sena (81 seats), NCP (Ajit Pawar faction - 59 seats).
MVA Alliance: Congress (101 seats), Shiv Sena (UBT - 95 seats), NCP (Sharad Pawar faction - 86 seats).
The Maharashtra exit poll reflects the high stakes for both the BJP-led Mahayuti and the MVA, as they battle for control of the 288-member Assembly.
Conclusion: Maharashtra Exit Poll Insights
The Maharashtra exit poll predictions lean heavily towards the Mahayuti alliance, with most pollsters forecasting a comfortable lead over the MVA. However, the final results on November 23 will determine whether these predictions hold true. As Maharashtra awaits the outcome, the stage is set for a dramatic conclusion to this closely fought election.
Stay tuned for more updates on the Maharashtra exit poll results and their implications for the state’s political landscape.
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